AIH -Long

50
Arabia Investments Holding (EGX:AIH)
Arabia Investments Holding engages in the non-banking financial, engineering, contracting, and manufacturing businesses in Egypt. Arabia Investments Holding was founded in 1985 and is based in Cairo, Egypt.
At close: Apr 6, 2025 0.490 EGP/share is slightly undervalued
Key Investment Highlights
1. Undervaluation Opportunity
o Current Price (0.49 EGP) vs. Book Value (0.91 EGP): Trading at ~46% discount to book value.
o Fair Value (1.18 EGP): Ostoul Securities estimates 141% upside based on sector P/E.
o Low Trailing P/E (10.52): Suggests earnings are reasonably priced.

2. Strong Financial Growth (2023)
o Revenue Growth: +11.48% (1.41B EGP).
o Earnings Growth: +27.95% (90.16M EGP).
o Market Cap CAGR (5.17% since 2013): Steady but modest long-term appreciation.

3. Technical Indicators Suggest Bullish Reversal
o Wyckoff Accumulation Phase (Since Oct 2024): Potential upward breakout.
o Falling Wedge Pattern (Monthly Chart): Targets 1.01 EGP.
o Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 1 target at 0.721 EGP.
o Point of Control (POC) at 0.6 EGP: Near-term resistance.
o EMA200 Below Price: Indicates bearish trend, but reversal signals emerging.

🔑 Strategy Suggestion:
• Entry Zone: 0.48–0.52 EGP
• Stop-loss: Below 0.44 EGP
• TP1 refers to volume Money flow profile =POC is 0.6 EGP/share
• TP2 refers to Elliot analysis current in wave 1and TP is 0.721 EGP/share
• TP3refers to daily falling wage 0.737 EGP/share and Flag in monthly to be 1.01 EGP/share
• TP4 refers Book Value Per Share 0.91 EGP/share

📌 Investment Thesis Summary
✅ Positives
• Undervalued vs. Book Value and Sector P/E
• Strong revenue and earnings growth in 2023
• Technical setup suggests a bullish reversal (accumulation + falling wedge)
• Fair value (1.18 EGP) implies significant upside (~141%)

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