Since publishing the long idea in late August at $4.29 (orange circle) price action has zoomed up 1000%. Not bad. A number of reasons now exist to be short. They include:
1) Price action has arrived at significant support and resistance, $41.
2) RSI is @ 95 on the 5-day, 97 on the weekly chart. The highest in the history of this chart.
3) Price action is four sigmas from the Bollinger Band mean. Four! (see 5-day chart below). How significant is this? If you’re a probability nerd like myself, you’ll know. If you should take away anything from this it is, Price action will ALWAYS interact with the Mean 90% of the time (the orange middle line). Right now that price is $11.
4) Some other reasons said elsewhere.
Is it possible price action keeps going up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: 2-3%
Timeframe for short: Couldn’t say
5-day Bollinger Band
1) Price action has arrived at significant support and resistance, $41.
2) RSI is @ 95 on the 5-day, 97 on the weekly chart. The highest in the history of this chart.
3) Price action is four sigmas from the Bollinger Band mean. Four! (see 5-day chart below). How significant is this? If you’re a probability nerd like myself, you’ll know. If you should take away anything from this it is, Price action will ALWAYS interact with the Mean 90% of the time (the orange middle line). Right now that price is $11.
4) Some other reasons said elsewhere.
Is it possible price action keeps going up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: 2-3%
Timeframe for short: Couldn’t say
5-day Bollinger Band
Trade active
Note
At this rate the target shall be accomplished in the days ahead.Trade closed: target reached
Touched 17.30, good enough.Trade active
Although the target was already achieved it is about to happen again. Thought you all should know because there is a ridiculous number of long ideas out there.2-day
Trade active
(again).Trade active
GRM resistance confirmed.Trade closed: target reached
Wait for price action to fall below $8 before entering the consolidation area as shown below.5 day
Note
Had a few folks asking if this one is now a long.no no no
Note
Price action has entered the Gaussian channel and rejected the ceiling on the 5 day chart. in other words broken market structure confirms resistance. It is now highly likely price action continues the downward channel to test the lower side of the channel, which is between 8-9 dollars.5 day
BTC
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
BTC
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.