Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Market: At monthly rejection or supply zone
Time Frame: H4
1: Swing Structure: From the monthly zone, the market formed a CHOCH with inducement, giving a corrective swing move as the 1st pullback mitigated the extreme wick OB and swept liquidity at the Premier zone.
🟢 Entry Model: ABCD
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Consolidation rectangle at supply level. Shakeout reversal Wyckoff method.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Long wick: Hammer or hanging man but at the wrong place indicates a reversal. Momentum: Strict engulfing at the highest candle.
3: Volume:
Observed a very large selling volume on July 11th while the price was making new highs. This volume can be considered selling volume or profit-taking volume. Based on this volume, there is a very high chance that the price will go down.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Bullish to sideways zone with a proper range shift and multiple bearish divergences at the top indicate a sudden loss of momentum. Based on this, there is a high chance the price will go down.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Contraction has started; the price might range for some sessions. After this, expect a lower band squeeze breakout and continuation to lower "walking on the band" condition. Here, a BB M pattern is also forming and a band puncher at the highest candle.
6: Strength: Everything is neutral yet.
7: Sentiment: Sell
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15m
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
✔ Entry Time POI: Mitigated
☑️ Trend line breakout: Yes
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.1111
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1133
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1020
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong sell position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, with expected bearish momentum and high potential reward.