Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 29/01/2024

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Last week was a slow one for the Judas Swing strategy, with only a single trade across our key currency pairs—GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD. But here’s the good part: that one trade was a winner, closing the week up 2%

This is a perfect example of why sticking to your strategy matters. We didn’t force trades just because opportunities were scarce. Instead, we trusted our tested system and the data behind it. In trading, discipline is everything, short-term fluctuations don’t matter as much as the long-term edge. By staying patient and following the plan, we set ourselves up for consistent success. In this post, we’ll walk you through the entire process, from setup to outcome and share key insights from these trades

By 8:25 EST, we were already at our desks, prepping for the session. As always, we marked out our key zones, patiently waiting for either the high or low to be swept to establish a directional bias. By 8:45 EST, price had already taken out the liquidity resting at the low of our zone—our cue to start looking for potential buying opportunities
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With our bias established, we don’t just jump into trades, we wait for our key conditions to be met:
1. Break of structure to the buy side
2. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) must be left behind
3. Price must retrace into the FVG
Until all three conditions align, no trade is taken. Even if two out of three are met, we stay on the sidelines. Following this plan ensures we only take high-probability setups.

By the close of the 9:35 EST candle, all the conditions on our entry checklist were met, confirming a valid trade setup. We executed the trade with a 1% risk on our account, aiming for a 2% return
Entry: 0.62168
Stop Loss: 0.62058
Take Profit: 0.62368
Now, it’s all about letting the trade play out according to the plan
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After executing the trade, we saw minimal drawdown as price moved smoothly, printing higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs), perfect for our buy position. A sharp drop suddenly sent price back to our entry point. But instead of pushing down further, price quickly rejected that level, leaving wicks behind before reversing back in our favor.

This trade is a prime example of why we don’t move our stop loss to breakeven just because a trade is moving well. Through extensive backtesting, we've observed for this strategy that these temporary pullbacks happen often, and in most cases, the trade still plays out as expected. Of course, there are times when price fully reverses and hits our stop loss but that doesn't happen often. Our patience paid off as our 1% risk translated into a 2% return, proving once again that disciplined execution and sticking to the plan yield results.
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