AUD/USD at Critical Support โ€“ Breakout or Breakdown?

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๐Ÿ” AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis โ€“ March 9, 2025
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel ๐Ÿ“ˆ

The price is moving within an upward channel, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
Support & Resistance Zones ๐ŸŸฆ๐ŸŸฅ

Support: Around 0.6231 - 0.6200 (blue zone). A breakdown below this could push the price lower toward 0.6129 (orange zone).
Resistance: The 0.6460 - 0.6584 level is the next major hurdle for bulls.
200-Day Moving Average (Red Line) ๐Ÿ”ด

The price is currently below the 200-MA, indicating a long-term bearish sentiment. However, a breakout above this level could signal a trend reversal.
Potential Scenarios ๐Ÿ“Š
โœ… Bullish Case: If the price sustains above 0.6231, we could see a bounce towards 0.6460 - 0.6584 in the coming weeks.
โŒ Bearish Case: A break below 0.6231 could push the price toward the 0.6129 - 0.6100 region before finding support.

Trade Plan ๐ŸŽฏ
Buy Zone: Around 0.6231 with a stop-loss below 0.6200.
Sell Zone: If price rejects 0.6460, a short position could be considered with a stop above 0.6584.
๐Ÿ“Š Conclusion: AUD/USD is at a key decision point. Bulls need to hold support for further upside. A breakdown could trigger a bearish move.

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