AUD/USD Daily Time Frame (DTF) Analysis
The AUD/USD pair remains in a downtrend, recently breaking below the minor key support level at 0.62900. However, after this breakdown, sellers failed to drive the price lower toward the next key support, leading to a retracement towards the minor resistance level at 0.63500. This area has formed a double top pattern, signaling potential price reversal and strengthening the bearish outlook.
With price currently trading below key levels, our strategy remains focused on anticipating liquidity formation between these two minor key levels. We plan to wait for a retracement towards the previous support level before executing a sell limit order at 0.62700, with a stop-loss (SL) set at 0.63870, placed above the liquidity zone, and a take-profit (TP) target at 0.59910, aligned with the next major support level.
Fundamental Outlook: Key Developments Impacting the AUD
Impact of U.S. Tariffs: On April 3, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, escalating global trade tensions. This announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in risk assets, leading to a 2% decline in the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 index. Export-driven stocks, such as Ansell and Breville Group, were particularly affected. In response, the Australian dollar depreciated as investors shifted toward safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. (Source: Reuters)
Market Volatility and Risk Aversion: The imposition of these tariffs has heightened concerns about a potential global economic slowdown, prompting investors to move away from risk-sensitive assets, including the AUD. The resulting risk-off sentiment has contributed to further weakness in the Australian dollar, as market participants continue to favor safer currency alternatives amid heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
The AUD/USD pair remains in a downtrend, recently breaking below the minor key support level at 0.62900. However, after this breakdown, sellers failed to drive the price lower toward the next key support, leading to a retracement towards the minor resistance level at 0.63500. This area has formed a double top pattern, signaling potential price reversal and strengthening the bearish outlook.
With price currently trading below key levels, our strategy remains focused on anticipating liquidity formation between these two minor key levels. We plan to wait for a retracement towards the previous support level before executing a sell limit order at 0.62700, with a stop-loss (SL) set at 0.63870, placed above the liquidity zone, and a take-profit (TP) target at 0.59910, aligned with the next major support level.
Fundamental Outlook: Key Developments Impacting the AUD
Impact of U.S. Tariffs: On April 3, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, escalating global trade tensions. This announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in risk assets, leading to a 2% decline in the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 index. Export-driven stocks, such as Ansell and Breville Group, were particularly affected. In response, the Australian dollar depreciated as investors shifted toward safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. (Source: Reuters)
Market Volatility and Risk Aversion: The imposition of these tariffs has heightened concerns about a potential global economic slowdown, prompting investors to move away from risk-sensitive assets, including the AUD. The resulting risk-off sentiment has contributed to further weakness in the Australian dollar, as market participants continue to favor safer currency alternatives amid heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.