Bitcoin is now out of a bear market and is in it's initial phase of the bull market. That's not what the news is saying. The news says the worst is yet to come, I don't agree. Let's have a look.
First, the green and red zone is Gaussian Channel. It turns red in bear markets and green in bull markets. Once it turns green it stays green for the entire bull market. Well sir, it's not green, it's still red. Yes this is a lagging indicator, by the time it turns green bitcoin will be preparing to enter the next phase of the bull market.
Down below we have the crypto fear and greed indicator. I have drawn a yellow line where the support for this indicator should most likely stay the entire bull run. The corrections should go to the NEUTRAL area of 47. It is possible for it go lower like 46 45 in fear but It should recover quickly. A substantial break of this zone would likely mean the bull market is over.
How do we know all this stuff? How can we verify it? WE would look left on the chart. History may not repeat exactly, but it does rhyme.
This is my analysis of the bear market transitioning into a bull market. From last September I was calling for the Bull market to start in March of 2023. Look a the break out candle. Mid March, NAILED IT!!
We can see when prices fell in November that the fear and greed was actually rising creating a bullish divergence.
I don't expect prices to fall below into this yellow shaded section again. That doesn't mean it can't, if it does, it will not last long in my opinion. It will get bought up very quick.
Please feel free add comments or ask questions down below.
Thanks for looking
WeAreSar0shi