BTC Elliott Wave count Daily

I think an running triangle is ended also the 1st and 2nd subwave from a 5th wave is ended, wave 2 bounced 3 times into 0.854 fib retracement of the 1st subwave.
I am expecting a fall to 15000 fot Bitcoin if this is a correct count that.( Above 21000 this count will be invalidated)
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