Bitcoin
Short
Updated

BTC - Macro points to more down

398
BTC Top pattern analysis (outlined in yellow) suggests BTC remains in a bearish formation. Comparison analysis trends corollate across MA, RSI, Market Structure.

The Scenario points to:
- PAST: Price rally up was expected (although long entries on ALTs was hard due to lag behind BTC)
- PRESENT: Scenario suggests current price would begin to level off - might continue to run to the 50MA then large scale chop for a couple of weeks max. ALTs hitting long exits - e.g. LUNA. Suggests this is not a buying area - more profit taking.
- FUTURE: BTC price movement moves towards final 2 bearish impulses down and corresponds to my SPX Big Short which is also playing out as well - Any new substantial short looks like a week or so away

Will BTC go down? The market may not repeat but often rhymes. Counter to this is the possibility of a Running Flat Correction.

Best, Hard Forky

Market Top
BTC - Crimbo shakeout

SPX
SPX Big Short

Immediate-term ALT action
Luna - Textbook iH&S with $62.4 Target

Note
Initial Short Entry
snapshot
Note
Short Target is just north of 42K snapshot

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