BTC dropped today below the 21 weekly ema just like in July 2015. The similarities are uncanny, after a bear run, price pops over the 21 weekly ema, then drops below it and after which it was a bull run to ATH. Ichimoku cloud is also very similarly structured.
I modeled the price path in relation to the ichimoku cloud, proportional fibs and timing.
I mentioned this idea previously below.