Bitcoin: June 26th, 2024
Updated
Hello dear traders. In this post, I am going to provide my thought process and a thorough analysis regarding Bitcoin and where we stand.
First and foremost, let me be unequivocally clear that I am bullish, and I am going to provide the invalidation for my bullish bias, and also where my bullish bias will be ever more valid.
Firstly, if you take a look at the HTF chart i.e. weekly and biweekly, you will see that price is respecting a major support level that used to be resistance (the grey rectangle). Price deviated twice above the box in the previous cycle and then the trend began with clear signs of rejection from the box. As long as we have no acceptance below the box, I am bullish. Acceptance for me will be a formidable candle slicing through the zone and then closing and finally spending time below the zone while showing signs of rejection. If we close a strong daily candle below it, I will exit my longs. Plus, the quarterly candle is retesting the previous resistance. However, the 2M candle is exhibiting mixed signals, but overall it can be seen as a form of retest too (These charts will be posted in comments section for study purposes).
Now that we got the higher timeframe out of the way, let's focus on the daily. In the daily, one thing is definite: Price is range-bound above the previous resistance. What can further validate longs? Firstly a move above 63K - 64K. In other words, a move above the anchored VWAP and VAL. This will definitely be a positive step for longs. What will be absolutely bullish? A reclaim of 66K - 67K. That is to say a reclaim of the GP of the move down, POC of the range, and the mid-range.
Considering the major VWAP charts (You can find the charts in the comment section), 66K is previous quarterly VAH. 62300 is current quarterly VAL. Also, 65600 is the current quarterly VWAP. In the monthly, 63500 is the current monthly VAL, and the current monthly VWAP is at 66600. Moreover, the previous monthly VWAP is at 64600. What do all of these mean? The same conclusions we made. Reclaim 63K - 64K and we have taken a firmly positive step. Reclaim 66K - 67K and and we are absolutely bullish.
I use these metrics to draw conclusions, and they all point to the same results. My preference is a monthly close above 63K.
You can find the charts in the comments section, and if you find this analysis useful, please smash the like button and share it. It goes without saying that this is my take on the current situation of the market and none of this financial advice, and I hope that this information translates into meaningful action for you. Good luck!
First and foremost, let me be unequivocally clear that I am bullish, and I am going to provide the invalidation for my bullish bias, and also where my bullish bias will be ever more valid.
Firstly, if you take a look at the HTF chart i.e. weekly and biweekly, you will see that price is respecting a major support level that used to be resistance (the grey rectangle). Price deviated twice above the box in the previous cycle and then the trend began with clear signs of rejection from the box. As long as we have no acceptance below the box, I am bullish. Acceptance for me will be a formidable candle slicing through the zone and then closing and finally spending time below the zone while showing signs of rejection. If we close a strong daily candle below it, I will exit my longs. Plus, the quarterly candle is retesting the previous resistance. However, the 2M candle is exhibiting mixed signals, but overall it can be seen as a form of retest too (These charts will be posted in comments section for study purposes).
Now that we got the higher timeframe out of the way, let's focus on the daily. In the daily, one thing is definite: Price is range-bound above the previous resistance. What can further validate longs? Firstly a move above 63K - 64K. In other words, a move above the anchored VWAP and VAL. This will definitely be a positive step for longs. What will be absolutely bullish? A reclaim of 66K - 67K. That is to say a reclaim of the GP of the move down, POC of the range, and the mid-range.
Considering the major VWAP charts (You can find the charts in the comment section), 66K is previous quarterly VAH. 62300 is current quarterly VAL. Also, 65600 is the current quarterly VWAP. In the monthly, 63500 is the current monthly VAL, and the current monthly VWAP is at 66600. Moreover, the previous monthly VWAP is at 64600. What do all of these mean? The same conclusions we made. Reclaim 63K - 64K and we have taken a firmly positive step. Reclaim 66K - 67K and and we are absolutely bullish.
I use these metrics to draw conclusions, and they all point to the same results. My preference is a monthly close above 63K.
You can find the charts in the comments section, and if you find this analysis useful, please smash the like button and share it. It goes without saying that this is my take on the current situation of the market and none of this financial advice, and I hope that this information translates into meaningful action for you. Good luck!
Note
The red level matters.
Note
The quarterly chart shows a retest.
Note
The 2M chart must hold the black level.
Note
The yearly, quarterly, and monthly VWAPs.
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