I noticed that on longer time frames, BTC candles tend to separate into 2 channels on upwards moves - the wicks, and the bodies. Currently we wicked up into the wick channel, but came back down into the body channel.
Theoretically, a decisive break of the downtrend would have to include a candle in which the body breaks into the wick channel. If the breakout is powerful enough, the wick could surpass the wick channel as well.
Sounds retarded, but I'm leaving this to check back up on periodically.