I hate BTC! It has proven to be so manipulated that it has become just a reference tool to analysis the alt-coins. As price lowers I feel miners squeeze the volatility out of BTC and push the price action North and BOOM liquidation occurs almost immediately. Suffice it to say charting BTC is an ambitious endeavor at best! I conclude that SOMEBODY wants to drive the price to just above $4100 and liquidate into the runup. I don't own BTC and have a 3k price prediction I made back in November 2018. I feel it needs to revert to the mean at between $1,800 and $2,400 before it can make it's next big move, "To the Moon!
Outlook: Crappy -- I have a channel with limited defined points, so it's only a reference. The downside risk is ever present with the exception that entities unknown, at any time, will drive price north.
The selling is OVER-EXTENDED at the .618 fib level which seems to be holding as support. It appears we are drawing in some buyers -- let's see if the upper trendline holds or is used as a selling point. It's impossible to trade against the miners and the algorithms holding enough BTC to move the entire crypto markets!
Good Luck trading BTC!
Best,
Biff