This seems more realistic to me based on past performance. The only thing tough to capture is that there is a steepening in the bottom trend line each cycle. how much that bottom trend line steepens this cycle is the only question. But confirm it, it will. The market demands it.
Yes, I know ETFs, world governments monetary systems collapsing, bitcoin will raise your babies and cook your dinner in the future, blah blah blah...
2036 is not that far away. Sorry if you don't get rich overnight. It's *still* growing faster than anything else out there.