Let me start by saying that when I started this chart I wanted to make this as clear as possible. Sorry IF I was unable to do so in my chart... TOOLS USED
Chart starts from JUNE 02 2017 Purple Trend Lines 3 Fib retracements Time Cycles Volume Indicators Moving Average 30,60,120
In order to know where something is going you need to know where it came from. So here goes.... Time Line - 08/05/17 - Initial Breakout Took 26 Days & Gained 68% In Value 09/02/17 - Chine Released FUD Causing Market To Reject High's And Rebound Back For A Retest Of The Lows 09/15/17 - Bitcoin Found Support @ Moving Average 120 ($3,200) Bearish Divergence & Continuation Back To The Highs 10/12/17 - 27 Days To Reach The Target Of $5,000 Steadily Following The MA60 10/13/17 - Breakout Of $5,000 11/05/17 - 24 Days & 51% Increase To The $7,600 Highs 11/07/17 - In Anticipation Of BTC Split Segwit2x Hardfork Market Continues In An Uptrend 11/08/17 - Segwit2x Hardfork Canceled Market Spikes To $7,800 Then Selloff lasted 4 days
Now, Here is where something interesting happened. The market has left a gap between previous break out of $5,000 and in any healthy market its always good for these levels to be revisited prior to moving higher. Reason for this is that if and when these levels get retested it leaves a potential break down below these levels, and since charts go in waves it may be a similar correction into the downside. This may or may not send us into a bear trend for a few months. and a possible long term until the market is able to revisits the highs again.
Now My Trading View At The Current Moment 11/22/17 -> I am currently bullish bitcoin and full disclosure I am currently only holding core positions and trading only intra-day or daily. My initial short was after Segwit2x news @ $7,400 and I covered at the break of $6000 which was a 3 day 20% profit trade with very little risk. I then flipped sides and took BTC long from $5,500 and partialed out @ $7000.
Current Trading Plan - BE Advised This trading plan may be a bit late to enter These trades are potentially supposed to call where BTC is topping out and reverse to retest the purple trend line.
Trade #1 Circle ( Yellow ) 50-60% Increase From The Previous Low (Considering this is a newly formed breakout) Stop Loss Should Be Below $5k (Potential $500 Loss per coin) Partial Target Should Be @ $7,800 (Potential $2000+ profit per coin) Potential Re-Entry @ The Break Of $8,000 Target Anywhere Between $8,800 - Break Of $9k Sell @ First Sign Of Reversal
Trade #2 Circle ( Orange ) In the case that we calculate the new "Breakout" Not from My Entry Levels of $5,500 but from the level of $7,800 (previous breakout) Which In My opinion is not the correct place to calculate this new breakout. But as i like to say opinions are like assholes... anyway you get the point. Trade plan #2 will top us out at somewhere above $10,000 Partial Target @ $10,000 Target Between $11,000-$11,500
Within the next two days we should have what we call a 'Count down sell signal' This means that there will be a potential 4-9 day pull back after this signal. And we are only a few days out.
TRADE - SHORT Short BTC - At The Break Of $8,000 STOP LOSS -> $8,500 TARGET $7,200
For questions, comments or concerns please feel free to drop notes. I will update the chart as we go.
Thank you for following.
Trade active
Short Trade Active - Rejection from the high's I was off by $30 calling the top. Top is in!
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.