M1 : Ongoing downtrend process. Low reached so far @ 30'066
W1 : Below the cluster. Weekly closing will be once more, VERY IMPORTANT !
Indeed, a failure to close above 40'550 on W1 closing basis would confirm further
downside in the cards for next week
D1 : The trend is your friend. As long as BTC is below 40'000-40'550 on D1 basis, selling
pressure will persist.
H4 : In this time frame 3 successive bearish price action could be seen
Watch 36'000 on the downside and 40'000/40550 on the upside as first significant indicators
levels for next move
H1 : The target (35'650) of the triangle pattern, mentioned yesterday, has been filled (low 33520 !)
Bullish divergence (see chart M15) triggered a recovery which did not breakout the MBB so far .
Attempt to go through the clouds resistance area (36'750-40'000)
As for H4 watch the clouds breakout to get clues (interesting to note that the top clouds level
is currently around the 40'000 which corroborate with what has been said before !)
M30 : Currently traded around MBB. Failure to stay and hold above it (36'850) would directly put the focus
on 36'000/35'800 area)
M15: Bullish divergence on RSI detected @ 33'520, which triggered a corrective move towards a high so far of 38'150, below the clouds.
Watch the clouds (38'800-39'000) and KS (35'830) as indicator levels on this time frame
M5 : Clouds, for the time being rejected the downside breakout attempt. Watch now MBB(37200) ahead of the top of the clouds 37'500-37'800 to get clues
in a VERY SHORT TERM TIME HORIZON.
CONCLUSION : NO CHANGE IN MY STRATEGIC VIEW, CALLING FOR A ONGOING BEARISH SCENARIO
As already mentioned, any long position should be protected with a tight stop loss and be managed with discipline !!!!
Have a nice weekend
All the best
Take care
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