Bitcoin
Long
Updated

Bitcoin - Here We Go...

149
BTC has been running since reaching its current low. We're now at a 160% gain from the recent bottom and we're 3 days away from the halving. We're being extra cautious here on a couple of levels as everyone again appears to be in euphoric mode.

Possible scenarios:
1. Bearish
One unpopular possible scenario is that the BTC halvnening is priced in. We've known this was coming and the whales have been accumulating. Wouldn't be surprised to see some whales secure profits here and a dip occur. RSI is overbought, we're still inside a bearish downtrend triangle dating back to the 2018 high. We also have the jobs report coming out today and waiting to see how the market reacts to it. People have argued back and forth as to whether crypto and the market are correlated and we have seen reasons for both sides. The last time the market tanked, Crypto did as well. Also makes sense that at times of fear and uncertainty any risky investments generally see a pullback.

2. Bullish
Everyones favorite scenario, is this is the last time we'll see BTC under 10k. I don't think thats necessarily the case just yet but we are bullish at the moment. We just had a 160% run, DMI is bullish, and we just broke the .382 fib levels. To keep this going, we would like to see BTC break out of the triangle, retrace and retest the top for support and then start to take off. We would be buying hard at these levels if this occurs with a tight stop.

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Cheers!

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Note
We're about 7 hours away from the halving. As expected, Whales took some profit over the weekend with the Oversold RSI. Waiting to see how low we go.

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