"Buy high, sell low" BTC price expectation in the next 4 years
Many of traders probably have came across this phase "buy high, sell low". It's a joke spinning from the correct way of trading - "buy low, sell high". However, it seems that is what I was doing early on my trading. There is another one when I buy and the price seems to always drop, and when I finally sell, the price climb to a new ATH. It is odd that many trader can relate to this. As I got more experienced in trading, I have learned that trading is all about the timing and preparation. My timing was off, therefore I was not prepare. Luckily the macro cycle of BTC and crypto in general is very predictable. This makes the timing easy to be recognized and make the preparation easy.
I have experienced 3 of the BTC halving and Alt coin seasons. Every 4 year, BTC halving occurs (google if you dont know, it's very important) and several months later BTC price climb and surpass the ATH. This exact event had occur many times on: 2012, 2016, 2020, and now 2024. After breaking the ATH, the BTC price becomes stagnant, which starts the Alt coin season, then become extremely violetlike, drop and crypto winter begins. This is the pattern that I have recognized and learn so that I can prepare myself to maximize profit.
"The past event may not occur again and should not be used to predict the future". This phase haunts me before I finally took the leap of faith. During the crypto winter of 2019 and covid, I had predicted that if the covid panic did not bring BTC down to zero, its going to bounce back up and break its ATH after the halving. Surely enough it did. Unfortunately, I had only bagged a small amount of BTC. Then I sold during the declining of the first pump in the early 2021. The lesson I learn here is that selling is much harder than buying. It is because I held the bag since covid, felt like I was married to them, while worry about if I had sell them at the best value. Even if I had sold on the down trend, I made nearly 8X.
Different level of preparation went into this 2024 BTC cycle, I had bought some BTC in 2022, 2023, before and after the FTX went bankrupt. I had DCA through out the crypto winter. This time I was ready. Interesting thing about this cycle was my timing felt.....off, it felt like I was just throwing money into endless pit. Then it finally clicked, this was the buyers' market, and buyers want to buy BTC at the lowest price possible. While, everyone is selling to get rid of the BTC, I will keep on buying. By no means this feel good at all, seeing your investment just decrease over time. Then 1 day, the negative return became positive. It was a moment of euphoria and relief. Lesson learn from the previous time about selling, I set a target for BTC price at 100K, once BTC reach 100K - sell. So I did. I anticipate this cycle ATH will be around 100-110K.
Some crazy events will occur again, I dont know what it is but it will.... then BTC price will drop in 2026-2027. Some time between these two years, it is the best time to purchase. I anticipate that the cycle low will be around 20K to 35K. The halving will occur in 2028, then by the end of the year it will pump. I will update when purchase starts, see you in 2026
I have experienced 3 of the BTC halving and Alt coin seasons. Every 4 year, BTC halving occurs (google if you dont know, it's very important) and several months later BTC price climb and surpass the ATH. This exact event had occur many times on: 2012, 2016, 2020, and now 2024. After breaking the ATH, the BTC price becomes stagnant, which starts the Alt coin season, then become extremely violetlike, drop and crypto winter begins. This is the pattern that I have recognized and learn so that I can prepare myself to maximize profit.
"The past event may not occur again and should not be used to predict the future". This phase haunts me before I finally took the leap of faith. During the crypto winter of 2019 and covid, I had predicted that if the covid panic did not bring BTC down to zero, its going to bounce back up and break its ATH after the halving. Surely enough it did. Unfortunately, I had only bagged a small amount of BTC. Then I sold during the declining of the first pump in the early 2021. The lesson I learn here is that selling is much harder than buying. It is because I held the bag since covid, felt like I was married to them, while worry about if I had sell them at the best value. Even if I had sold on the down trend, I made nearly 8X.
Different level of preparation went into this 2024 BTC cycle, I had bought some BTC in 2022, 2023, before and after the FTX went bankrupt. I had DCA through out the crypto winter. This time I was ready. Interesting thing about this cycle was my timing felt.....off, it felt like I was just throwing money into endless pit. Then it finally clicked, this was the buyers' market, and buyers want to buy BTC at the lowest price possible. While, everyone is selling to get rid of the BTC, I will keep on buying. By no means this feel good at all, seeing your investment just decrease over time. Then 1 day, the negative return became positive. It was a moment of euphoria and relief. Lesson learn from the previous time about selling, I set a target for BTC price at 100K, once BTC reach 100K - sell. So I did. I anticipate this cycle ATH will be around 100-110K.
Some crazy events will occur again, I dont know what it is but it will.... then BTC price will drop in 2026-2027. Some time between these two years, it is the best time to purchase. I anticipate that the cycle low will be around 20K to 35K. The halving will occur in 2028, then by the end of the year it will pump. I will update when purchase starts, see you in 2026
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