Using the RSI on Daily-sized candles has been an excellent tool for deciding when to close a trend-following position and start looking for a counter-trend play.
Key points to look for:
Bullish divergence has to reach the oversold range
Look for re-test of support before entering
Aim to close at major resistance
Ideally the open interest on Bitfinex would be in opposition to the desired direction. Shorts start to flip longs = added momentum on the up move
In this case, I've never seen this much counter-trend momentum build up in the past 16 months of price action. It would make sense, because the last major support was at $5,800 and it has not been made in to resistance.
I'm not calling an end to the bear by any means, but we are long overdue for some upside