This BTC/USD 1-hour chart from TradingView represents a structured technical analysis using classical price action methodologies, integrating liquidity zones, market structure, and predictive modeling for potential price movements.
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1. Market Structure & Key Levels
Support Zone (~$84,000–$85,500):
This area acts as a demand liquidity pool, where historical price action shows aggressive buying interest.
The sharp wicks and rejections indicate institutional absorption of sell orders, reinforcing the zone's validity.
Resistance Zone (~$93,500–$94,500):
Price has failed to break this region multiple times, confirming it as a strong supply zone.
Prior liquidity grabs (wick spikes into resistance) suggest stop-hunt activities by market makers.
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2. Liquidity Dynamics & Smart Money Concepts
Market Maker’s Role:
The chart depicts classic "manipulation before expansion", where price sweeps liquidity below local lows before an impulse move upward.
The marked yellow circles identify engineered liquidity grabs, where stop-losses of retail traders are triggered before a reversal.
Current Market Positioning:
Price is hovering near support, forming a potential Spring (Wyckoff Accumulation Phase C) before a rally.
The red resistance rejection suggests a short-term redistribution phase, hinting at a potential bullish reversal if market absorption occurs.
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3. Future Price Trajectory & Trade Execution Zones
Bullish Scenario (High Probability Play):
A liquidity sweep below $86,000, inducing retail shorts, followed by a sharp impulse move to reclaim $88,613 (TP1).
If volume supports continuation, price may break structure at $91,270 (TP2), confirming bullish dominance.
Final target at $94,000 (full extension TP), aligning with order flow imbalance resolution.
Bearish Contingency:
If price fails to hold support, it could trigger a break of structure (BoS) below $84,000, leading to a deeper retracement.
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4. Confluence Factors (Supporting the Move)
Imbalance Fills & Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The chart shows inefficiencies in prior price action, suggesting that a retest of $91,270–$94,000 would be necessary to rebalance the market.
Fibonacci Retracement (Not Displayed but Inferred):
The expected retracement aligns with the 0.618–0.705 golden zone, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish move.
Volume Profile & Open Interest (External Considerations):
Analyzing order flow would confirm if smart money is accumulating before expansion.
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Conclusion:
This setup exhibits a textbook example of liquidity engineering and market structure play, where institutional players are likely positioning for a breakout towards $94,000. However, confirmation through volume and order flow will dictate the execution probability.
A high-R multiple trade can be structured, with optimal entries near liquidity sweeps, ensuring minimized risk while targeting key inefficiency levels.
Note 📝
Trade On your Own Risk it is Not Financial Advice It's my Personal Analysis