Bitcoin continues to move within the range between 28 615.23 USD and 31 411.48 USD. We still maintain a bearish notion on it as we expect the FED to move ahead with its economic tightening next week and pursue demand destruction. As a result, we expect the stock market to reverse the bear market rally and start drifting lower. Simultaneously, we expect this selling pressure and risk aversion to spill into the cryptocurrency market. Accordingly, we expect BTCUSD to be dragged lower by the declining stock market and rising USD. Therefore, we have no reason to change our bearish stance on BTCUSD; our price target stays at 25 000 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is neutral. The same applies to MACD. Stochastic turned bearish. DM+ and DM- are neutral. ADX suggests the trend is turning neutral. Overall, the daily time frame is slightly bearish.
Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows two recent false breakouts above the short-term resistance.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
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