This Chart is going to explain the higher possibility of the downswing and it's percentage movement. There is a lot of information to discuss.
First I will break down what your staring at: 4 sections, from top to bottom
#1 Price chart
#2 MAC'd indicator with momentum trend bars (MACD is the Heavy Yellow Line)
#3 God Mode indicator
#4 RSI/Stoch/MFI indicator (RSI is the Heavy Dk Blue Line) and (the Top Blue colored bar shows where the oversold level starts for that RSI line)
I have add in --- Divergence lines and yellow ovals.
// Divergence in Play - Bearish \\
Currently price is under a 4 hour bearish-divergence shown with the Red Lines and Red Text to match shown in windows: Price-MACD-RSI
I also drew in Green Lines just in case price decides to booster upwards towards the brown Fib 1.618 @ $ 8,100.. at which time that occurs, "a big IF" then the divergence is negated. IF this happens look towards the Daily as there would be a Bearish-Divergence with price point around Oct 27.
// Downswing @ 10 % - Estimated \\
Here I have Yellow ovals across all windows lined up.. There are two previous examples and the last third one is where price is currently. 4 hour indicators are typically accurate and to be respected. Along with the #1 price chart window I have shown at each incident a 10 % completed movement in relationship to the Yellow Ovals and the effects of all indicators max out in the overbought areas... I do have the last oval's % gaged at a higher region as to show if price did move up it will still need to drop down 10%, and/or.. that price could just fall 7% from where it is now to that Fib down below.
Good Luck Trading
PM me for the newest indicator releases and the newest updates are not posted yet ... as the ones I'm using are under construction. The God Mode 3.2 is available. The other two are mine I have created.