looking to form a higher low..potential h&s in play
The recent dip back to the 4hour 50ma has us looking for a bounce and hopefully forming another higher low to continue the series of higher lows/higher highs. However, it sent a bear wick under the 50ma before bouncing back upward and that wick dropped down to the exact level it would need to complete the head of a new potential head and shoulder pattern. Because of this it is imperative that on the next leg up we form another higher high otherwise the odds of forming the right shoulder of this potential head and shoulder pattern will be of a very high probability. Furthermore if we were to trigger that head and shoulder pattern there is a much larger inverted cup and handle pattern that could potentially be triggered shortly afterwards. Seeing a higher high after this higher low forms is very important, and if not at least an additional higher low or 2 until we reach that higher high. Hopefully this is what occurs...the inverted head and shoulder pattern we just broke above failed to reach its target breakout though so maybe the same would be true with a regular head and shoulder pattern as well. Stay cautious and vigilant and prepared for either outcome and you should be fine. I'm still optimistic of a bull run, but ready for the opposite.
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