I just recalled why April 2018 Short Squeeze happened
(1) There was an analysis from some famous paid VIP group that the price will break below 6000 and rally to 4000, so members should short to make big profit.
(2) A lot of people spread this analysis to their secret/private/public groups and most of them followed ( massive short )
(3) So, the short position is accumulate around 6800-7000 ( You can see the vol on Apr 9, 2018, very massive compare to the candle size )
(4) Two day later, on Apr 12,2018. After 2 candles do HH, HL and the price reach the chain reaction point ( 6900 ) and very big position got liquidated at Bitmex ( I remembered that there was a lot of 10m USD short positions got liquidated )
(5) Price skyrocket 1000$ from 6800 to 8000 in very few minutes. ( I remembered that feeling, having dinner with family and WTF! )
So... this Aug 2018 is different.
(1) A lot of people believe 6000 is a bottom, because it tested so many times and not break out.
(2) They will put buy order at 5800-6000 anyway if price goes down to that level.
(3) Also, bears will place a lot of big short order at 6800 because it's super resistant price.
*IF* Price can reach 6800 and coming down, the very big Head and shoulders in day timeframe will completed.. and it will be very ugly for Bitcoin and altcoin. ( Because this time, it will break 5800 and down to hell )
I think bears and bulls will try their best to protect this range. But ETF Rejection/postpone next month could trigger the big short and it will break 5800 support price for sure.