[BTCUSDT] | Short Setup From the High | Liquidity Engineer Trap
🚨 [BTCUSDT] | Short Setup From the High | Liquidity Engineer Trap in Motion
Posted by: Karma_T | March 25, 2025
Framework: KarmaTrades Methodology (Trap Patterns • EMA Reactions • Session Flows)
🧠 Setup Context
Over the weekend, I stacked into a short position on BTC as the price pushed up into a high-confluence zone. The move lacked real momentum, topped out right under the High of the Week (HOW), and was rejected at the 4H 200 EMA—all signs pointing toward a manufactured pump.
The move looked engineered — something I refer to as a Liquidity Engineer trap. Highs bait the breakout traders, low volume confirms the lack of intent, and now we’re hovering at the edge, waiting to see if it rolls over.
📍 Why I Took the Short
• HOW + RL3 (Rise Level 3) on the 15m TF — prime reversal territory
• Rejection at the 4H 200 EMA, which often acts as the ceiling when the move is cooked
• Volume didn’t confirm continuation — just enough juice to run stops and lure breakout entries
• Aligned with False Move Week Beginning (FMWB)
🎯 My Targets
I'm just letting price do its thing here. Target zones mapped out based on structural liquidity:
• TP1: 85.5K – Minor S/R flip + breakout base
• TP2: 82.6K – Clean liquidity shelf & prior consolidation
• TP3: 81.1K – Monthly level & previous trap zone
I'll step back and reassess if the structure shifts — especially a clean reclaim and retest above HOW and the 1H 800 EMA. Until then, this still looks like a fade-the-pump setup.
—
#BTCUSDT #ShortSetup #KarmaTrades #LiquidityEngineer #TrapSetup
Posted by: Karma_T | March 25, 2025
Framework: KarmaTrades Methodology (Trap Patterns • EMA Reactions • Session Flows)
🧠 Setup Context
Over the weekend, I stacked into a short position on BTC as the price pushed up into a high-confluence zone. The move lacked real momentum, topped out right under the High of the Week (HOW), and was rejected at the 4H 200 EMA—all signs pointing toward a manufactured pump.
The move looked engineered — something I refer to as a Liquidity Engineer trap. Highs bait the breakout traders, low volume confirms the lack of intent, and now we’re hovering at the edge, waiting to see if it rolls over.
📍 Why I Took the Short
• HOW + RL3 (Rise Level 3) on the 15m TF — prime reversal territory
• Rejection at the 4H 200 EMA, which often acts as the ceiling when the move is cooked
• Volume didn’t confirm continuation — just enough juice to run stops and lure breakout entries
• Aligned with False Move Week Beginning (FMWB)
🎯 My Targets
I'm just letting price do its thing here. Target zones mapped out based on structural liquidity:
• TP1: 85.5K – Minor S/R flip + breakout base
• TP2: 82.6K – Clean liquidity shelf & prior consolidation
• TP3: 81.1K – Monthly level & previous trap zone
I'll step back and reassess if the structure shifts — especially a clean reclaim and retest above HOW and the 1H 800 EMA. Until then, this still looks like a fade-the-pump setup.
—
#BTCUSDT #ShortSetup #KarmaTrades #LiquidityEngineer #TrapSetup
Trade active
🧭 Stop adjusted upward to 90,000The push into the 86K–88K zone showed signs of a final liquidity grab. The stop has been moved to 90K to allow for trap completion before full breakdown.
🎯 Updated Targeting a Full 3:1 R:R
• Entry: 86,000
• Stop: 90,000 (4K risk)
• 3:1 Target: 74,000
• TP1 and TP2 remain unchanged
• TP3 now pushed deeper to align with macro liquidity shelf + structural retest zone
🧯 Invalidation Criteria
• Daily close above 90K
• OR a clean reclaim + retest of HOW and 1H 800 EMA
If either triggers, the short is off the table. Otherwise, the structure remains aligned for continuation into deeper liquidity.
📉 Expectation: price fades through mid-range, sweeps sub-75K, then forms a reclaim base near 73K–72.5K.
Let the engineered trap play out. When the volume lies, structure tells the truth.
—
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.