Bitcoin / TetherUS
Short

BTC - “Bull Market” OR Bearish Retest on HTF?

102
Bitcoins excessive rise for the previous two years brings concern for the mechanics of this market. Moving only up for so long leaves much liquidity in the form of long position stop losses below the current price.

These stop loss orders, or leveraged sell orders, are an explosive chain reaction ready to set off.

Observe these two trendlines and copy them to your charts. These two bearish trendlines (in my view) are why bitcoin has truly been rising so freely.

Moves up in the form of bearish retests are fast and fluid, only after the rejection does price fall aggressively.

I anticipate two scenarios here in the realm of bearish ideas:

Possibility 1 - 30% Probability

96,700 to 34,500

34,500 retrace to 68,500

68,500 to 7,000

Possibility 2 - 70% Probability

96,700 to 43,000

43,000 retrace to 60,000

60,000 to 7,000

Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense.

Be mindful of this possibility. And protect yourself accordingly.

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