Dear readers,
Unfortunately, we have failed to create our good fortune in 2022. The main reason most influencers, traders and market followers; kept the "Buy the Dip" ante; is due to most of us believing in crypto; but also the idea that if we didnt make it in 2022, the bearishness due in 2023 could become damaging to the long-haul.
2023 is the year the U.S infrastructure bill is set to kick in. This bill conveyed a number of new burdens to be carried by node operators, miners and services. The biggest one of them being the tax reporting requirements which are currently unfeasible.
If it weren't sufficiently bad; we also have to remain aware of the tactics, government roll out of CBDC's, could translate into. From a support for crypto-currencies in order to drive CBDC adoption, to, a possible view of crypto-currencies cannibalizing into the market for CBDC's.
We are now starting the year with bearish macro indicators. A FED that is still unwilling to stop tightening and an overall market sentiment of disappointed at no pause/break in Q4 2022. This sentiment finds further justification in the steep decline in APPL stock. A stock that for long was seen as a barometer for tech and the one tech blue-chip the majority of funds from low-risk pension funds to high risk hedge-funds, saw as a must within any portfolio.
With all this in mind, 2023 looks set to be the most bearish year to date. We are slowly entering a period in history, where people simple do not enjoy sufficient disposable income to pay for Netflix and Spotify.(Sharp users decline. Sufficient for Netflix to review its subscription model and possibly roll out an ads based subscription.) A period where credit card debt is ballooning, not due to spending propensity, but due to people relying on credit to pay monthly utility bills, mortgages and other credits due.
All in all we must remain warry. Many things are set to break in 2023. Utilities are set to remain climbing. Central-banks remain unwilling to change stance. It is now not the moment to attempt buying crypto or risk-on assets.
Trade safe, and if you only know how to trade crypto, consider taking the time to learn about energy markets, defense and agriculture. The sun will set on crypto once more, but in these dark times, we must rush to safety.
Happy new year and lets get to it legends :)
Rob