The impact of Sellers in February 2020 (Bearish Impulse leg that lasted a month on the weekly chart - tradingview.com/x/wxaJrvnw/) appears to be too strong for the Buyers to gain that confidence needed to invest in the CAD. With the present Head and Shoulder look alike, I shall be patiently looking out for a significant Breakdown of Neckline and Support level @ 0.69300 to hop in the decline.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Channel | H & S| Supply & Demand Observation: i. Despite having a Bullish structure, the CAD$0.0.69800 level has been a very stronghold for Sellers since mid-October 2020. ii. Bullish move from CAD$0.69400 (Support level) continue to be rejected @ CAD$0.69800 hence making it a major level for Supply. iii. With the present character in the market, the Breakout of CAD$0.698000 on the 9th of Nov. 2020 appears to be false as the price continues to experience weak Bullish momentum springing from the Bullish Trendline. iv. This been said, CAD$0.69300 level becomes a level to watch out for significant breakdown for confirmation this week. v. It is also worthy to note here that a significant Breakout of CAD$0.70000 level this week might render this setup invalid and an immediate shift to a rally continuation shall be activated. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
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