CADJPY: A Potential Reversal and Uptrend on the Horizon?

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In this blog post, we'll be analyzing the currency pair CADJPY on the TradingView social trading platform, focusing on a potential reversal and uptrend. We'll be using Fibonacci retracement, support and resistance levels, and moving averages to determine the likelihood of a trend reversal.

Fibonacci Retracement:

The Fibonacci retracement tool is used to identify levels of support and resistance. By drawing a Fibonacci retracement line on a 1-day timeframe, considering 40 bars from September 29th, 2023, to November 21st, 2023, we can identify the levels of support and resistance that the price has been oscillating between.

In this case, the price has been oscillating between 23.60% and 61.80%. The 23.60% level has been a strong support zone for the last 40 days, and the price is currently testing this support level. This is a significant indication of a potential trend reversal.

Support Cluster:

In addition to the Fibonacci retracement level, we also have a cluster of support near the 23.60% level. The 90-day EMA is also near this level, which adds to the significance of this support zone. The trend line drawn on the weekly timeframe from May 22nd, 2023, also converges with the support line, forming a strong support cluster.

Potential Uptrend:

Considering the confluence of these support levels, it's likely that the price will bounce off the 23.60% level and potentially start an uptrend. The 61.80% level, which has been acting as resistance, could potentially be broken, leading to a further increase in price.

Moving Averages:

The 90-day EMA, as mentioned earlier, is near the support line of 23.60%. This indicates that the price has been trading in a downtrend for the past 90 days. The 200-day EMA is still above uptrend, which suggests that the long-term trend is still up.

Conclusion:

Based on the analysis, there is a strong possibility of a trend reversal in the CADJPY currency pair. The confluence of support levels, including the Fibonacci retracement level, the 90-day EMA, and the trend line, suggests that the price is likely to bounce off the 23.60% level and potentially start an uptrend.

Traders may consider entering long positions at this level, with a stop-loss order below the support line and a take-profit order at the 61.80% level.

Risk Warning:

Trading carries risks, and it's essential to remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Before making any trading decisions, it's important to conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance.

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Disclaimer

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