Current trend
The ETH/USD pair started the week lower as part of the general market trend and fell below 3000.00.
Experts continue to link the general weakening of the market with investors' reaction to the upcoming serious tightening of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Investors fear that the US economy will react with a slowdown to a sharp increase in interest rates or even start a recession. Yesterday, in this background, the yield of 10-year bonds reached a three-year high of around 2.78%, which led to a decrease in risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. According to several representatives of the cryptocurrency community, the digital asset sector will remain under pressure as long as the regulator continues to tighten monetary policy, which may take a long time. However, after stabilizing the economic situation, serious growth will resume.
As for Ethereum itself, the developers continue to prepare for the transition to the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) algorithm and the launch of the Ethereum 2.0 network. On Monday, the developers tested the merger of the two networks, the so-called "shadow fork," which was successful but had several minor problems. The next stage of the test is scheduled for April 22. After it, the developers will probably be able to determine the launch date of the Ethereum 2.0 network more accurately, as one of the leading experts, Tim Beiko, hinted at. Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin previously assumed that the transition to the new system would take place before July of this year.
Support and resistance
Technically the price is trading around 2950.00 (Murrey [6/8], Fibonacci retracement 23.6%). Consolidation below this level allows a decline to 2656.75 (Murrey [1/8]) and 2500.00 (Murrey [0/8]). The key "bullish" level is 3281.25 (Murrey [5/8], Fibonacci retracement 38.2%, the middle line of Bollinger bands). Its breakdown allows growth to 3595.00 (Murrey [7/8], Fibonacci correction 50.0%), 3900.00 (Murrey [+1/8], Fibonacci correction 61.8%). The indicators do not give a single signal: Bollinger bands and Stochastic are horizontal, and the MACD histogram is preparing to move into the negative zone and form a sell signal.
Resistance levels: 3281.25, 3595.00, 3900.00.
Support levels: 2950.00, 2656.75, 2500.00.