ETH - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis

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Greetings, this is my current Elliott Wave count for ETH.
Last week we have seen a lot of bullish price action across the market but ETH seems to be underperforming lately, maybe we should see this as an opportunity!

We assume the the green Wave 4 bottomed on the 5th August 2024 and we started green Wave 5 of which we might have potentially finished the Wave 1 displayed in blue here. In the past weeks we have seen an correction unfold as red ABC which could have finished blue Wave 2.
The blue Wave 2 support area sits between the 0.5 FIB at 3110.99 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2539.57 USD. We already dipped into it got close to the golden pocket and saw a first reaction to it.

Assuming blue Wave 2 is in we can calculate potential targets for blue Wave 3.
The targets sit at the 1 to 1 FIB at 4897.99 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 5369.52 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 5661.22 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 6132.75 USD.

Noteworthy is that the 1 to 1 FIB at 4897.99 is right in confluence with the previous ATH at 4877.54 USD which can lead to a reaction when we hit this target.
Be aware that we could dip again lower as the red Wave C only touched the 0.618 FIB extension at 3120.11 USD which is rare but valid. We still got the 1 to 1 FIB at 2734.29 USD as red Wave C target which is right below the golden pocket of the blue Wave 2 support.
Additionally the price might be a little choppy on the way up as the move already started a bit shaky.

Thanks for reading.

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