Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS)
Company Overview:
Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS) is an Egyptian logistics provider offering a wide range of professional and cost-effective logistic services. The company was established in 1973 and is listed on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Investment Highlights:
• Significant Undervaluation: Trading at EGP 5.90, below fair value of EGP 9.10 (54.2% upside)
• Exceptional Financial Strength: Low P/E ratio, strong profit margin, minimal debt
• Positive Technical Outlook: Bullish trend in Elliott Wave and Wyckoff analysis
• Favorable Risk-Reward Profile: Upside potential (54.2%) outweighs downside risks (15-20%)
• Strong Sector Outlook: Egyptian transportation and logistics sector projected to grow at 7% CAGR.
Fair Value Range
• Ostoul Securities Brokerag Conservative Fair Value: EGP 7.82 (+32.5% upside)
• DCF Fair Value: EGP 7.6 (+28.2% upside)
• Optimistic Fair Value: EGP 11.00 (+86.4% upside)
• Cairo Financial Holding Research Fair Value: EGP 9.5 (+61% upside)
Base Case on the above Fair Value: EGP 9.10 (+54.2% upside)
ETRS is Financial Health and is considered a strong investment opportunity based on
Fundamentals:
• Low P/E ratio of 4.17
• High profit margin of 30.83%
• ROE: 45.14%
• Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09
• EV/EBITDA: 4.06 (Undervalued)
• P/FCF: 23.02 (Suggests weaker cash flow compared to earnings)
Technical analysis:
Based on my analysis average accumulation price:4.30 EGP by Smart Money Holdings
According to Wyckoff theory, smart money typically begins distribution likely begin distribution in the 8.50-9.50 EGP range the price approaches fair value.
• Primary Support: 5.00-5.20 EGP (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: 4.80 EGP (entry point)
• Strong Support: 4.30-4.60 EGP (previous accumulation zone)
• Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave 5 Scenario: If in early Wave 5, we would expect a final push upward with a price target of approximately 7.50-9.00 EGP forecast Oct.2025
• Long-term (12+ months) target is +11.00 EGP
Company Overview:
Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS) is an Egyptian logistics provider offering a wide range of professional and cost-effective logistic services. The company was established in 1973 and is listed on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Investment Highlights:
• Significant Undervaluation: Trading at EGP 5.90, below fair value of EGP 9.10 (54.2% upside)
• Exceptional Financial Strength: Low P/E ratio, strong profit margin, minimal debt
• Positive Technical Outlook: Bullish trend in Elliott Wave and Wyckoff analysis
• Favorable Risk-Reward Profile: Upside potential (54.2%) outweighs downside risks (15-20%)
• Strong Sector Outlook: Egyptian transportation and logistics sector projected to grow at 7% CAGR.
Fair Value Range
• Ostoul Securities Brokerag Conservative Fair Value: EGP 7.82 (+32.5% upside)
• DCF Fair Value: EGP 7.6 (+28.2% upside)
• Optimistic Fair Value: EGP 11.00 (+86.4% upside)
• Cairo Financial Holding Research Fair Value: EGP 9.5 (+61% upside)
Base Case on the above Fair Value: EGP 9.10 (+54.2% upside)
ETRS is Financial Health and is considered a strong investment opportunity based on
Fundamentals:
• Low P/E ratio of 4.17
• High profit margin of 30.83%
• ROE: 45.14%
• Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09
• EV/EBITDA: 4.06 (Undervalued)
• P/FCF: 23.02 (Suggests weaker cash flow compared to earnings)
Technical analysis:
Based on my analysis average accumulation price:4.30 EGP by Smart Money Holdings
According to Wyckoff theory, smart money typically begins distribution likely begin distribution in the 8.50-9.50 EGP range the price approaches fair value.
• Primary Support: 5.00-5.20 EGP (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: 4.80 EGP (entry point)
• Strong Support: 4.30-4.60 EGP (previous accumulation zone)
• Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave 5 Scenario: If in early Wave 5, we would expect a final push upward with a price target of approximately 7.50-9.00 EGP forecast Oct.2025
• Long-term (12+ months) target is +11.00 EGP
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.