As anticipated last week, EURNZD played the range from 6650/7020 and with the daily solid close on 28 May it pushed it to the range high at 6980/7020 Res Zone with some Res formation on the way up at 6820/6860.
As EURNZD still in range and no clear break out, i expect EURNZD to again test the range lows at 6700/6650.
COT report showing that NZD shorts had increased their positions but still not convincing as it's only one week that showed that increase. Longs are still holding their positions. A confirmation that NZD shorts are into the market when i see 2 to 3 weeks consecutive increases in short positions .
Seasonality showing that NZD will weaken till mid May and strength till end of May continuing into June to create new NZD highs which will lead EURNZD to create a new low.
Technically, i'm looking for EURNZD to still range between 7020/6650, which makes me look for longs from range lows and shorts from range highs as long no break and support/resistance formation above Sup/Res zones marked.
My plan for this week as EURNZD reached the top of the range, i'll look for resistance formation below the daily resistance formed and below the Res zone at 6980/7020 to short back to the range low at 6700/6650.
My preferred longs will be above the Res zone 6980/7020 with support formation above on 4H.
No major news this week for NZD and Monday is NZD Bank Holiday.
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