EUR/PLN had been trading in an ascending channel since late August prior to breaching this pattern to the downside on Tuesday. The pair’s movement during the past two weeks resembles a channel down; however, another bottom confirmation is still needed.
Meanwhile, the common European currency has been testing the lower channel line for several hours, thus not being able to move below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Technical indicators suggest that the rate should recover in the short term. A possible upside target could be the upper channel boundary circa 4.2940—a level which is reinforced by the 55– and 100-hour SMAs, the monthly PP and the weekly S1.
In case of a downside momentum, the pair should be limited by the monthly S1 at 4.2516.