The common European currency is trading against the Polish Zloty in a short-term symmetrical triangle.
The pattern started to form right after the 1.5% appreciation of the Euro, which was triggered by announcement of the ECB Minimum Bid Rate two weeks ago.
For the moment, the pattern already has four confirmation points, which means that it has reached maturity and might be broken in the nearest future.
Most likely, the currency pair will leave the formation in the upward direction.
Firstly, because the southern side is reliably protected by the 200-hour SMA, the monthly PP at 4.2457 as well as the weekly S1 at 4.2414.
Secondly, because the triangle represents a body of the larger pennant pattern whose flagpole appeared because of the above fundamental event.
In this sense, the rate is expected to surge approximately by 1.29%.
Note
The slight appreciation of the common European currency has resulted in the formation of an ascending wedge.
On September 19, the pair reached a long-term resistance at 4.2958 and reversed to the downside. Subsequently, the same scenario occurred once again. This movement of the Euro demonstrates a minor consolidation period which is nevertheless slightly tended to the downside.
It is expected that the given pair pushes down to the lower wedge boundary this week; a possible range could be the 4.2780 mark where a strong support of the weekly PP, the 200-, 55– and 100-hour SMAs are located. This could strand the pair between this level and the aforementioned support for some time, as bulls or bears need to gather quite a lot of strength to pass trough either of this barrier.
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