π° Pair Name : EUR/USD
π° Time Frame : 1H/4H
π° Scale Type : MID Scale
π° Direction : LONG/BUY
ππΌ FUNDAMENTAL POINT OF VIEW: ππ΅ A mixed bag of US jobs data released on Friday ππΊπΈ points to limited upside in the US dollar ahead of key US inflation data due on Wednesday. ππΉ The greenback fell sharply, almost erasing all of the week's gains after a not-so-bearish jobs report. Non-farm payrolls increased less than expected ππ, but the unemployment rate fell, and average hourly earnings came in higher than expected ππ. The demand for jobs is slowing, but the labor market remains tight for now. β³π οΈ
The market's response to this mixed data has been similar to recent trends. Below-expected data has had an outsized impact on USD ππ, while upbeat data has failed to leave a lasting impression. π€π‘ Despite the US Economic Surprise Index being at its highest since early 2021, the DXY Index (US dollar index) is around its year-to-date lows. ππ±
EUR/USD is still within the uptrend change, and the broader bias remains upward due to higher-highs-higher-lows pattern since late 2022. ππ Lately, the pair has been hovering in an upward-sloping channel since March. However, the consolidation could extend a bit further in the near term. β³π
ππΉ Technical point of view: ππΉ EURUSD PRICE HAS REACHED FIB LEVEL 50% ππ. We expect the price to retest fib level 23.6% and the consolidation range box below, and then head up again to refill the market imbalance and collect the buying liquidity above. πππΉ