Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short

EURUSD 01 OCT 2023

Upon macroscopic examination of the daily time frame, a pronounced and aggressive bearish trend is readily discernible, with prevailing market forces continuing to exert downward pressure. Nonetheless, it is pertinent to note that, in the context of long-term valuation, the asset's price remains at a comparatively depressed level. Such undervaluation often acts as a magnet for buyers and stop-loss orders, rendering short-selling strategies suboptimal under these conditions. Sophisticated algorithmic trading mechanisms anticipate this behavior, thereby deploying counter-strategies.

In the event that a more favorable entry point is not immediately identifiable, a prudent approach entails awaiting a more propitious juncture. Indiscriminate price chasing inherently undermines capital preservation objectives and is generally ill-advised.

The phenomenon of 'up-thrusts' is characterized by a large bid-ask spread expansion concomitant with elevated trading volume, culminating in a close at or near intraday lows. Such market behavior is commonly observed in overbought conditions, often following a period of conspicuous selling activity. It serves as a precursor to a subsequent bearish price trajectory. The trading volume during up-thrust events can manifest as either attenuated (indicative of diminished demand) or amplified (signifying supply overwhelming demand).

Market-making entities possess the capacity to orchestrate up-thrusts as a profit-generation maneuver. This action invariably precipitates a short-lived price escalation, inducing buying activity and triggering stop-loss mechanisms. Traders who are engaged in short-selling often react to such market dynamics by liquidating their positions, thereby exacerbating the volatility. Up-thrusts frequently follow discernible signs of market weakness and serve as a harbinger for a bear market phase. In such a known weak market context, market-makers or specialists may capitalize on transient positive news to artificially inflate prices, ensnaring less vigilant market participants.

Still going to look for that short for the time being.

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