Morning guys,
I'm sure many of you didn't expect to wake up and see me posting this chart.. As one of the biggest bears on the euro here on here alongside many others; it is only right to keep you updated with my outlook.
The end of the downtrend in the euro is around the corner, whilst there is little support below 1.04x a break below certainly unlocks parity; I am expecting an active weekly open from Europe with the US remaining choppy until fed.
Gold is marching deeper with the hikes play whilst Euro is chopping in same area with the map clear as day for FED... strange you may think?
We have risk all over the place with risky european elections, UK about to jump in the abyss and the never ending populists leading the pack. BOE overstayed low rates that inflation is already hitting deep in the UK, finally getting back to norm in EZ.
1.048x is the rain maker to the short side, until we take out 1.09 then we must give bears the benefit of the doubt; I am starting to scale in longs already as retail doesn't even smell whats going to happen next. Soon we will see how it pans out when the honeymoon ends.
Choose your positions in the comments below; please only one call and one side, I will pick a few of your calls and track the flow
banker