Technical Overview:
Day Trading Range: 1.1580 - 1.1710
Pivot: 1.1635 (EURUSD CMP 1.1642)
Key Resistance: 1.1662 - 1.1688 - 1.1710
Key Support: 1.1630 - 1.1610 - 1.1580
Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1.1634 with targets at 1.1608 & 1.1578 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.1634 look for further upside with 1.1664 & 1.1688 as targets.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: The MacD lacks upward momentum.
Moving Avg: SMA200 (1.1580) & SMA100 (1.1577) strong support for the day. Price is above SMA, Short term bullish scenario.
Fundamentals:
Sino-U.S. Trade War Updates Remain Main Focus of Investors
However, a break above the previous day’s high of 1.1659 may remain elusive, courtesy of escalating US-China trade tensions. Moreover, China is likely to retaliate in kind if the US goes ahead with the fresh round of tariffs. That said, a big rally towards 1.1733 (recent high) could be in the offing if the US average weekly earnings and non-farm payrolls figure for August, scheduled for release at 12:30 GMT, misses estimates by a wide margin, adding credence to the argument put forward by the likes of Fed’s Bullard that the central bank should stop raising rates now.
On the other hand, a big beat on the wage growth figure would reinforce hawkish Fed expectations, driving the US dollar higher across the board. While the Eurozone second-quarter GDP, due for release at 09:00 GMT could move the EUR pairs. Moving forward, a close above 1.1704 opens the door for a test of the 1.1840-52 area. Alternatively, a push back below support in the 1.1530-54 zone paves the way for a decline back to Augusts swing bottom and unless either of these price levels are breached the pair is expected move in range bound pattern trapped inside mentioned price levels.
Thanks
YoCryptoManic