Foot Locker Incorporated (FL) Always Rises When This Happens
Foot Locker Incorporated has been in a bullishtrend since 2008. It has however, been moving downward since its most recent earnings call. On multiple occasions through this trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or lower levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in nice short-term gains for the stock. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may gain while it most likely continues its long-term trend.
When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 19.7756. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI oversold.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.7989 and the negative is at 1.2480. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The negative value is high, meaning the stock has been moving down, and is continuing to do so. The momentum has begun to slow and the positive value is beginning to move upward. The stock should begin rising soon.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 6.2597 and D value is 5.3371. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is very oversold. I cannot sit at this level much longer. Once the D value crosses above the K, the stock should begin to rise.
SPECIFIC ANALYSIS
I have created an algorithm (called the SAG gauge) which signals when stocks are truly overbought and oversold. The algorithm indicates when a particular stock meets multiple criteria which culminates in an oversold or overbought alert. That signal will occur within the next few days. The one more day of gains should create the signal. Because this signal will go off after continued gains, now is the best time to enter a position and take greater advantage of the pending upward movement.
Upon back-testing this indicator, it has signaled oversold status 72 times in the history of the stock. Eighty percent of the time the stock gains at least 2.50% over the following 30 trading days after the indicator date. Seventy percent of the time, the stock gains 5% and fifty percent of the time gains 11%.
In the history of this stock, it always gains a minimum of 3.64% when the negative VI is at or above its current level at the same time the RSI is oversold at or below its current level. This additional study requires the stochastic to be oversold as it is today too. Thirteen similar occurrences were studied. The median gain for the stock is 10.57% and the gain takes a median of eight trading days to occur. Seven of these instances occurred at the same time the SAG gauge determined the stock to be oversold. The minimum gain for these instances is 9.38% and the median gain is 19.70%. All of these statistical gains happen fast so anticipating the stock to go up and up is not recommended. The maximum movement for this stock could occur within the next 15-25 days.
Considering the RSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the upside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the SAG gauge, the stock could gain at least 5% over the next 35 trading days if not sooner.
When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 19.7756. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI oversold.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.7989 and the negative is at 1.2480. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The negative value is high, meaning the stock has been moving down, and is continuing to do so. The momentum has begun to slow and the positive value is beginning to move upward. The stock should begin rising soon.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 6.2597 and D value is 5.3371. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is very oversold. I cannot sit at this level much longer. Once the D value crosses above the K, the stock should begin to rise.
SPECIFIC ANALYSIS
I have created an algorithm (called the SAG gauge) which signals when stocks are truly overbought and oversold. The algorithm indicates when a particular stock meets multiple criteria which culminates in an oversold or overbought alert. That signal will occur within the next few days. The one more day of gains should create the signal. Because this signal will go off after continued gains, now is the best time to enter a position and take greater advantage of the pending upward movement.
Upon back-testing this indicator, it has signaled oversold status 72 times in the history of the stock. Eighty percent of the time the stock gains at least 2.50% over the following 30 trading days after the indicator date. Seventy percent of the time, the stock gains 5% and fifty percent of the time gains 11%.
In the history of this stock, it always gains a minimum of 3.64% when the negative VI is at or above its current level at the same time the RSI is oversold at or below its current level. This additional study requires the stochastic to be oversold as it is today too. Thirteen similar occurrences were studied. The median gain for the stock is 10.57% and the gain takes a median of eight trading days to occur. Seven of these instances occurred at the same time the SAG gauge determined the stock to be oversold. The minimum gain for these instances is 9.38% and the median gain is 19.70%. All of these statistical gains happen fast so anticipating the stock to go up and up is not recommended. The maximum movement for this stock could occur within the next 15-25 days.
Considering the RSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the upside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the SAG gauge, the stock could gain at least 5% over the next 35 trading days if not sooner.
All forecasts are based on analysis of past behavior. Prior movements are not always indicative of future movement. Develop the theory, test the theory. Do your own research. Nothing in this analysis constitutes advice. YouTube For More. Good luck!!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.