2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
FSLR
Cannon take fire. long.
- this is by no means as big as
NXT given my conviction, familiarity w/ that one
- but we've reached the point of "come on guys"
- my thesis is we're in the middle of the stock market crash and it's been asynchronous which is why nobody is noticing and different mag7s have been used/ picked weekly to dampen vol. but if you look at any of them on a stand alone basis, you'll see -15% to -30% from peaks to troughs
- will orange guy come and shoot solar headlines? guys idk, if i had a crystal ball i'd probably be warning everyone not posting on stonks
- but fslr cash gen and leadership in the industry, multiples seem v v v reasonable here esp given it's a much higher quality name than enph, sedg both of which put up amazing results (not rewarded bc tide go out - we've been talking about this)
- but some of my heavy cash has gone to this one today. next week they report. i'm v clear that ex post seems to be a better game to play esp w names less familiar or playing just tape/ multiples
- but seeing industry laggards report good results
- and the stocks only go lower
- we're in value territory here w/ fcf yield >10%
- i'll be hitting the big hard on a risk off, so have ammo to go, but not playing this light. we're doing pretty well on the year, so i'm pressing the advantage and working off the above thesis.
V
FSLRCannon take fire. long.
- this is by no means as big as
NXT given my conviction, familiarity w/ that one- but we've reached the point of "come on guys"
- my thesis is we're in the middle of the stock market crash and it's been asynchronous which is why nobody is noticing and different mag7s have been used/ picked weekly to dampen vol. but if you look at any of them on a stand alone basis, you'll see -15% to -30% from peaks to troughs
- will orange guy come and shoot solar headlines? guys idk, if i had a crystal ball i'd probably be warning everyone not posting on stonks
- but fslr cash gen and leadership in the industry, multiples seem v v v reasonable here esp given it's a much higher quality name than enph, sedg both of which put up amazing results (not rewarded bc tide go out - we've been talking about this)
- but some of my heavy cash has gone to this one today. next week they report. i'm v clear that ex post seems to be a better game to play esp w names less familiar or playing just tape/ multiples
- but seeing industry laggards report good results
- and the stocks only go lower
- we're in value territory here w/ fcf yield >10%
- i'll be hitting the big hard on a risk off, so have ammo to go, but not playing this light. we're doing pretty well on the year, so i'm pressing the advantage and working off the above thesis.
V
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.