GBPAUD market outlook

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GBPAUD
Price has reached and reacted off significant level of resistance zone at 2.16400, which was last seen on the 2nd of November 2015. On Friday's NY open, price created a false bullish signal with a 190 pips pin bar candle on the H1 chart. Instead, price reacted off its recent swap zone and continued its downtrend. If it breaks below 2.07720, we can anticipate a short-term continuous downtrend to the daily demand range, which is about 200 to 300 pip movement.

On the fundamentals, the Aussie dollar has recently hit a 5 year low against the USD, trading at just 60.5 US cents as the two world's largest economies have been ramping up tariffs to as high as 125%. The AUD may be impacted due to China being Australia's biggest trading partner and the trade war is only increasing uncertainty risks. On the bright side, the ASX 200 surged by 4.5% on a single day as Trump announces tariff pause, which was the highest increase in value on a single day ever since the pandemic in 2020. Both the UK and Australia have been imposed the same reciprocal tariff rates of 10%, for now, I expect a short-term downtrend before its continuation upwards, but we'll see what the coming week brings to us.

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