GBP/JPY Analysis: Cycle Completed and Expecting Pullback
Looking at the 1-hour chart, GBP/JPY has completed a bullish cycle, reaching the key resistance at **196.054**, as indicated by the blue zone. The pair appears to be facing resistance, and I’m now expecting a pullback.
1. **Fibonacci Levels**: The pullback could target critical Fibonacci levels for a potential bounce. The **23.6% (195.537)** retracement level has already seen some action. However, deeper retracements toward **38.2% (195.217)** or even **50% (194.952)** could provide stronger buying opportunities before the next bullish leg.
2. **Support Zones**: There is solid support around **194.750** and **194.300**, which coincides with key Fibonacci levels and previous consolidation areas. These zones could act as strong demand areas, signaling potential entries for the next wave upward.
3. **MACD**: The MACD is showing weakening bullish momentum, which aligns with the anticipated pullback. If the momentum continues to weaken, it further strengthens the case for a short-term corrective move before continuing higher.
4. **Next Move**: I expect the price to dip towards the **50% (194.952)** or **61.8% (194.700)** Fibonacci level for a pullback, followed by a bullish reversal toward **196.054** and possibly beyond, depending on how the market reacts at these key zones.
---
This analysis indicates a short-term correction before resuming the overall bullish trend. Monitoring how price interacts with the Fibonacci and support levels will be key for identifying strong entry points.
1. **Fibonacci Levels**: The pullback could target critical Fibonacci levels for a potential bounce. The **23.6% (195.537)** retracement level has already seen some action. However, deeper retracements toward **38.2% (195.217)** or even **50% (194.952)** could provide stronger buying opportunities before the next bullish leg.
2. **Support Zones**: There is solid support around **194.750** and **194.300**, which coincides with key Fibonacci levels and previous consolidation areas. These zones could act as strong demand areas, signaling potential entries for the next wave upward.
3. **MACD**: The MACD is showing weakening bullish momentum, which aligns with the anticipated pullback. If the momentum continues to weaken, it further strengthens the case for a short-term corrective move before continuing higher.
4. **Next Move**: I expect the price to dip towards the **50% (194.952)** or **61.8% (194.700)** Fibonacci level for a pullback, followed by a bullish reversal toward **196.054** and possibly beyond, depending on how the market reacts at these key zones.
---
This analysis indicates a short-term correction before resuming the overall bullish trend. Monitoring how price interacts with the Fibonacci and support levels will be key for identifying strong entry points.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.