GBPUSD (15M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Action
Bias: Bearish, Unless Price Reclaims 1.29644
- Current Trend: Downtrend, rejecting key liquidity levels.
- Liquidity Dynamics: Sell-side liquidity taken at EPL (1.2920), weak reaction.
- Market Structure: Bearish, no confirmed bullish shift.
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Bullish Execution Plan (Low Probability Unless Price Reclaims Key Levels)
Buy Entry 1: 1.2920 - 1.2930 (Liquidity Grab & Reversal)
- Confluence: 20ADR Level + Potential Bullish Order Block + EPL Sweep.
- Trigger: Price sweeps below 1.2920, shows bullish rejection (engulfing/strong wick).
- Target: 1.2950 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.29644 (CBR Retest).
- Stop Loss: Below 1.2900.
- Risk: Medium.
Buy Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.29644
- Confluence: Previous Resistance + 1/3ADR Level + Daily Open (DO).
- Trigger: Strong close above 1.29644, bullish retest.
- Target: 1.2980 → 1.30031 (ADR Highs).
- Stop Loss: Below 1.2950.
- Risk: High (fakeouts likely).
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Bearish Execution Plan (Primary Plan, Based on ICT Concepts)
Sell Entry 1: 1.29644 (CBR Retest & Rejection)
- Confluence: DO Level + EPH (Liquidity Above) + Bearish Order Block.
- Trigger: Price taps 1.29644, forms rejection candle.
- Target: 1.2950 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.2930 → 1.2920 (EPL).
- Stop Loss: Above 1.2980.
- Risk: Low.
Sell Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.2920 (EPL Breakdown)
- Confluence: Structural Breakdown + New York Session Confirmation.
- Trigger: Candle closes below 1.2920, retests as resistance.
- Target: 1.2900 (20ADR Target) → 1.2870 (Final TP).
- Stop Loss: Above 1.2935.
- Risk: Medium.
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Final Thoughts & Execution Summary
- Main Idea: Watch for a 1.29644 rejection to enter shorts.
- Alternative Buy Plan: If price drops to 1.2920, look for bullish reactions.
- High Probability Play:
Short 1.29644 → TP1: 1.2950 → TP2: 1.2930 → TP3: 1.2920
- Primary Play: Sell at premium, target new lows.