Here is a detailed analysis along with suggested entry, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL) levels based on a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio.
Analysis:
1. Trend Observation:
The pair recently had a strong downtrend from late September, indicating bearish momentum. While it attempted to rally afterward, GBP/USD continues to show lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: Around 1.3080 and 1.3150, where previous rallies have been capped.
Support: Around 1.2870 and 1.2750, where the price has shown buying interest.
3. Potential Scenarios and Setups:
Bearish Scenario (Continuation of Downtrend):
GBP/USD could move lower if it fails to break above 1.3080 resistance, which would confirm continued selling pressure.
Signs of bearish continuation patterns around this level would support this setup.
Bullish Scenario (If Price Finds Support):
If GBP/USD holds above the 1.2870 support level, a short-term retracement could occur.
Watch for bullish reversal signals around this area to confirm a possible pullback.
Strategy Summary:
1. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Both setups have approximately a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio.
2. Market Confirmation: Wait for confirmation patterns, such as candlestick patterns, near the entry levels before entering.
3. Economic Event Monitoring: GBP/USD can be influenced by key UK and US economic data, as well as any developments on interest rates or economic outlook from the Bank of England and Federal Reserve.