Cable reached six-month intraday highs even above $1.32 on 3 April after the American government announced sweeping new tariffs and panicked many investors and traders. Now, though, most of these have been reversed after an unusually better than expected job report from the USA. Politically, sterling seems to be among the less vulnerable currencies now since the UK was hit by only 10% new tariffs and hasn’t responded with any on the USA amid the Prime Minister’s call for ‘cool and calm heads’.
The obvious interpretation of the chart is an extreme head and shoulders, which would suggest another bout of significant losses to come around the end of April or early May. That’s questionable now because the fundamental situation is so heated. Given the strength of the pullback from $1.32, a sustained break above there in the near future looks unlikely. $1.28 is the area of the 200 SMA and likely to be an important support, but the price might halt above there at least temporarily around the lower part of the range from March.
As for gold, traders are looking ahead to American inflation on 10 April. Here though British GDP, trade and industrial data are also in focus on Friday 11 April.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.