The GBPUSD pair has been on the decline over the past few weeks. This is as a result of the rise in UK inflation and the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision on interest rates. The pair is now trading at 1.33ish which was a 3.68% decline from its highest level at 1.37949.
We highlight 3 main fundamental drivers for a possible downfall of GBPUSD - Inflation rose above the 2% target - UK post-Brexit / Ireland negotiations - Strong US data, Jerome Powell kept as a FED chair
The pair is moving below the 20-day and 50-day MAs, forming 1 level bearish signal. The relative strength index (RSI) is also below 50 and moving close to 30, confirming the signal at the 2 level. The pair also appears to have formed an inverted cup and handle. This indicates a bearish continuation, and 3 level confirmation for our technical analysis.
Therefore, the pair will likely keep falling, so the next psychological level to watch is 1.30000, which has on several occasions been a support level for the pair.
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