Analyzing the monthly price chart, a significant pattern emerges - the Triple Top formation from 2020 till now. The Price Percentage Oscillator (PPO) and Traders' Dynamic Index (TDI) indicators further shed light on the situation. Here's my take on short-term and long-term price analysis and projection.
The Triple Top pattern indicates three consecutive peaks at roughly the same price level, suggesting strong resistance. This suggests caution as it may signal a potential reversal or consolidation phase for Gold. The triple top pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when prices reach a high three times in a row, each time at a slightly lower level. This pattern suggests that the uptrend is losing momentum and that prices may be due for a correction.
Looking at the PPO indicator, it shows a bearish divergence with the price, indicating weakening momentum. This supports the notion of a possible pullback or correction in the short term.
The TDI indicator highlights a potential shift in market sentiment. The green RSI line has been in decline as price remained elevated and could imply a downtrend is forming.
In the short term, given the Triple Top pattern and the bearish signals from PPO and TDI, Gold may experience a downward correction or consolidation phase. Support levels to watch include $1,700 and $1,600.
In the long term, caution is warranted. If the Triple Top is confirmed, it may trigger a more significant trend reversal. Key support levels to monitor are $1,500 and $1,400, while resistance remains near $2,000. The short-term technical analysis suggests that gold prices may be due for a correction in the near future. However, the long-term technical analysis suggests that gold prices are still bullish and are expected to continue to rise in the years to come. Investors should consider taking profits in the short term and waiting for a better entry point in the long term.
Please note that this analysis is based on technical factors and historical patterns, and it's essential to consider other factors and conduct further research before making investment decisions. Stay informed and adapt to changing market dynamics.