The strategy with +5411.8 % returns on HOT in 6 months
Updated
A trading strategy that beats HOT's stellar returns may seem like a tough task or requiring something really complicated in order to execute. With what's presented here the goal is to demonstrate that that is not the case. You can beat holding (basically the only reason for trading) and you can do it with a simple strategy. Let's get to it.
In the past 6 months just holding HOT would have brought you 757% vs Bitcoin. So if you started with one Bitcoin worth of HOT at the end of September you would have 7.5 Bitcoin today. We want to beat that by trading. This strategy also works on FET, ACT and COV.
WILL POST POSITIONS BELOW - I plotted a few on the chart to know what I'm looking at.
The strategy goals:
- Trade the BTC pair and beat holding
- drawdown needs to be limited to 25% maximum. We don't want to go through long stretches where we watch our funds shrink. Having a losing trade after a losing trade can derail discipline.
- Simple so anyone can execute it and can be automated for gains while you are sleeping
The strategy:
After trying different approaches and removing all redundant strategy rules though trial and error we have the most simplistic and powerful strategy to beat holding HOT many times over. All you need to do is:
On the 30 min chart
- open a position when price is below the lower Bollinger Band (standard settings)
- close the position when price is crossing up the higher Bollinger Band
No stop loss or take profit - we always respect the market based close rule.
The results:
In 6 months this strategy returned a massive 5411.8%, convincingly beating just holding HOT. If you started trading this strategy in September with 1 Bitcoin you would now have 54.1! What's very impressive is that the maximum drawdown was only 19%. That and the massive returns gives us a Sortino Ratio of 37.2 (for comparison any strategy above 2 is considered good).
The strategy opened a total of 72 positions winning 73.6%. Not only is the win rate great but the average win is at 8.5% while the average loss is 2.86% which is why the strategy is performing so well. If you trade this expect to hold a position for a day and 8 hours on average.
If there's anything I can clarify please let me know.
The positions:
28/03/2021 13:00
28/03/2021 17:30
5 hours
OP 0.00000017
CP 0.00000019
+9.03%
27/03/2021 12:30
27/03/2021 21:00
9 hours
OP 0.00000018
CP 0.0000002
+10.3%
26/03/2021 05:30
26/03/2021 18:30
13 hours
OP 0.00000015
CP 0.00000015
+3.22%
24/03/2021 18:00
25/03/2021 10:30
17 hours
OP 0.00000014
CP 0.00000015
+7.41%
22/03/2021 19:30
23/03/2021 23:00
1 day
OP 0.00000014
CP 0.00000014
+3.95%
20/03/2021 14:00
21/03/2021 09:00
19 hours
OP 0.00000014
CP 0.00000014
-1.35%
17/03/2021 15:30
19/03/2021 08:30
2 days
OP 0.00000013
CP 0.00000013
+0.927%
16/03/2021 17:30
17/03/2021 05:30
12 hours
OP 0.00000011
CP 0.00000013
+17.4%
15/03/2021 22:30
16/03/2021 07:00
9 hours
OP 0.00000013
CP 0.00000015
+20.6%
12/03/2021 17:30
13/03/2021 09:30
16 hours
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000006
+1.93%
11/03/2021 19:00
12/03/2021 09:30
15 hours
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000005
+4.61%
10/03/2021 05:30
11/03/2021 04:30
23 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
-3.9%
08/03/2021 06:00
09/03/2021 15:00
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+0.614%
06/03/2021 22:30
07/03/2021 12:00
14 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+9.46%
06/03/2021 05:00
06/03/2021 10:30
6 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+7.53%
04/03/2021 16:30
05/03/2021 12:00
20 hours
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000006
+19.2%
03/03/2021 05:00
04/03/2021 08:00
1 day
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000006
+19.1%
02/03/2021 08:00
03/03/2021 04:30
21 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+3.76%
27/02/2021 13:00
28/02/2021 19:30
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+0.275%
26/02/2021 01:30
27/02/2021 08:00
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+3.81%
24/02/2021 20:00
25/02/2021 07:00
11 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+0.479%
22/02/2021 09:00
23/02/2021 13:00
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+17.4%
20/02/2021 16:00
21/02/2021 09:30
18 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000004
+26.4%
16/02/2021 10:00
17/02/2021 02:00
16 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.17%
13/02/2021 04:00
15/02/2021 08:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.112%
12/02/2021 04:30
12/02/2021 16:00
12 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+5.28%
10/02/2021 18:00
11/02/2021 00:30
7 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000003
+11.7%
08/02/2021 13:00
08/02/2021 19:00
6 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+29.7%
07/02/2021 13:00
07/02/2021 13:30
30 minutes
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+1.34%
05/02/2021 20:00
07/02/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-4.91%
04/02/2021 23:00
05/02/2021 15:00
16 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+6.51%
01/02/2021 18:00
04/02/2021 20:00
3 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+4.87%
30/01/2021 15:00
01/02/2021 08:00
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+3.16%
26/01/2021 13:00
28/01/2021 15:30
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+4.94%
25/01/2021 10:00
25/01/2021 21:30
12 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+2.18%
22/01/2021 09:00
22/01/2021 13:30
5 hours
OP 0.00000001
CP 0.00000003
+99.1%
19/01/2021 15:30
20/01/2021 11:00
20 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
0%
18/01/2021 02:00
18/01/2021 19:00
17 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+14.4%
16/01/2021 06:30
16/01/2021 16:30
10 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+17.6%
14/01/2021 10:30
15/01/2021 12:30
1 day
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-5.78%
13/01/2021 10:00
13/01/2021 23:30
14 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+1.57%
10/01/2021 11:30
11/01/2021 15:30
1 day
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000003
+3.99%
08/01/2021 12:30
08/01/2021 16:30
4 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+13.5%
07/01/2021 08:30
07/01/2021 09:00
30 minutes
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000003
+48.8%
06/01/2021 15:30
06/01/2021 19:00
4 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+20.1%
05/01/2021 16:00
06/01/2021 12:30
21 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+1.91%
03/01/2021 11:00
05/01/2021 07:00
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+13%
31/12/2020 10:30
01/01/2021 09:00
23 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-7.17%
26/12/2020 11:00
28/12/2020 06:30
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-9.1%
24/12/2020 21:00
26/12/2020 10:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000002
-5%
23/12/2020 19:30
24/12/2020 09:00
14 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.609%
19/12/2020 15:00
21/12/2020 23:30
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+3.34%
18/12/2020 02:00
18/12/2020 13:30
12 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+30.1%
17/12/2020 01:30
17/12/2020 12:00
11 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+4.13%
16/12/2020 08:00
16/12/2020 17:30
10 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+8.11%
07/12/2020 18:00
13/12/2020 09:30
6 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.05%
04/12/2020 20:00
07/12/2020 03:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.218%
24/11/2020 23:00
30/11/2020 11:30
6 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-5.9%
24/11/2020 02:30
24/11/2020 08:30
6 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+4.32%
17/11/2020 13:30
21/11/2020 11:30
4 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.87%
15/11/2020 03:00
17/11/2020 05:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.2%
11/11/2020 02:00
14/11/2020 13:00
3 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-1.19%
08/11/2020 23:30
09/11/2020 23:00
24 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.926%
07/11/2020 19:30
08/11/2020 18:30
23 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.0645%
05/11/2020 04:30
06/11/2020 09:30
1 day
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-6.05%
01/11/2020 12:00
02/11/2020 16:00
1 day
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-4.35%
31/10/2020 07:30
01/11/2020 06:30
23 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-0.178%
28/10/2020 04:30
28/10/2020 12:30
8 hours
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
+1.99%
25/10/2020 05:30
27/10/2020 04:00
2 days
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
-2.03%
23/10/2020 17:30
24/10/2020 09:30
16 hours
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
-2.24%
21/10/2020 06:00
21/10/2020 06:30
30 minutes
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
+2.74%
01/10/2020 13:30
19/10/2020 06:00
18 days
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
+9.9%
In the past 6 months just holding HOT would have brought you 757% vs Bitcoin. So if you started with one Bitcoin worth of HOT at the end of September you would have 7.5 Bitcoin today. We want to beat that by trading. This strategy also works on FET, ACT and COV.
WILL POST POSITIONS BELOW - I plotted a few on the chart to know what I'm looking at.
The strategy goals:
- Trade the BTC pair and beat holding
- drawdown needs to be limited to 25% maximum. We don't want to go through long stretches where we watch our funds shrink. Having a losing trade after a losing trade can derail discipline.
- Simple so anyone can execute it and can be automated for gains while you are sleeping
The strategy:
After trying different approaches and removing all redundant strategy rules though trial and error we have the most simplistic and powerful strategy to beat holding HOT many times over. All you need to do is:
On the 30 min chart
- open a position when price is below the lower Bollinger Band (standard settings)
- close the position when price is crossing up the higher Bollinger Band
No stop loss or take profit - we always respect the market based close rule.
The results:
In 6 months this strategy returned a massive 5411.8%, convincingly beating just holding HOT. If you started trading this strategy in September with 1 Bitcoin you would now have 54.1! What's very impressive is that the maximum drawdown was only 19%. That and the massive returns gives us a Sortino Ratio of 37.2 (for comparison any strategy above 2 is considered good).
The strategy opened a total of 72 positions winning 73.6%. Not only is the win rate great but the average win is at 8.5% while the average loss is 2.86% which is why the strategy is performing so well. If you trade this expect to hold a position for a day and 8 hours on average.
If there's anything I can clarify please let me know.
The positions:
28/03/2021 13:00
28/03/2021 17:30
5 hours
OP 0.00000017
CP 0.00000019
+9.03%
27/03/2021 12:30
27/03/2021 21:00
9 hours
OP 0.00000018
CP 0.0000002
+10.3%
26/03/2021 05:30
26/03/2021 18:30
13 hours
OP 0.00000015
CP 0.00000015
+3.22%
24/03/2021 18:00
25/03/2021 10:30
17 hours
OP 0.00000014
CP 0.00000015
+7.41%
22/03/2021 19:30
23/03/2021 23:00
1 day
OP 0.00000014
CP 0.00000014
+3.95%
20/03/2021 14:00
21/03/2021 09:00
19 hours
OP 0.00000014
CP 0.00000014
-1.35%
17/03/2021 15:30
19/03/2021 08:30
2 days
OP 0.00000013
CP 0.00000013
+0.927%
16/03/2021 17:30
17/03/2021 05:30
12 hours
OP 0.00000011
CP 0.00000013
+17.4%
15/03/2021 22:30
16/03/2021 07:00
9 hours
OP 0.00000013
CP 0.00000015
+20.6%
12/03/2021 17:30
13/03/2021 09:30
16 hours
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000006
+1.93%
11/03/2021 19:00
12/03/2021 09:30
15 hours
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000005
+4.61%
10/03/2021 05:30
11/03/2021 04:30
23 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
-3.9%
08/03/2021 06:00
09/03/2021 15:00
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+0.614%
06/03/2021 22:30
07/03/2021 12:00
14 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+9.46%
06/03/2021 05:00
06/03/2021 10:30
6 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+7.53%
04/03/2021 16:30
05/03/2021 12:00
20 hours
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000006
+19.2%
03/03/2021 05:00
04/03/2021 08:00
1 day
OP 0.00000005
CP 0.00000006
+19.1%
02/03/2021 08:00
03/03/2021 04:30
21 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+3.76%
27/02/2021 13:00
28/02/2021 19:30
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+0.275%
26/02/2021 01:30
27/02/2021 08:00
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000006
+3.81%
24/02/2021 20:00
25/02/2021 07:00
11 hours
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+0.479%
22/02/2021 09:00
23/02/2021 13:00
1 day
OP 0.00000006
CP 0.00000007
+17.4%
20/02/2021 16:00
21/02/2021 09:30
18 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000004
+26.4%
16/02/2021 10:00
17/02/2021 02:00
16 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.17%
13/02/2021 04:00
15/02/2021 08:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.112%
12/02/2021 04:30
12/02/2021 16:00
12 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+5.28%
10/02/2021 18:00
11/02/2021 00:30
7 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000003
+11.7%
08/02/2021 13:00
08/02/2021 19:00
6 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+29.7%
07/02/2021 13:00
07/02/2021 13:30
30 minutes
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+1.34%
05/02/2021 20:00
07/02/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-4.91%
04/02/2021 23:00
05/02/2021 15:00
16 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+6.51%
01/02/2021 18:00
04/02/2021 20:00
3 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+4.87%
30/01/2021 15:00
01/02/2021 08:00
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+3.16%
26/01/2021 13:00
28/01/2021 15:30
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+4.94%
25/01/2021 10:00
25/01/2021 21:30
12 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+2.18%
22/01/2021 09:00
22/01/2021 13:30
5 hours
OP 0.00000001
CP 0.00000003
+99.1%
19/01/2021 15:30
20/01/2021 11:00
20 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
0%
18/01/2021 02:00
18/01/2021 19:00
17 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+14.4%
16/01/2021 06:30
16/01/2021 16:30
10 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+17.6%
14/01/2021 10:30
15/01/2021 12:30
1 day
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-5.78%
13/01/2021 10:00
13/01/2021 23:30
14 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+1.57%
10/01/2021 11:30
11/01/2021 15:30
1 day
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000003
+3.99%
08/01/2021 12:30
08/01/2021 16:30
4 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+13.5%
07/01/2021 08:30
07/01/2021 09:00
30 minutes
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000003
+48.8%
06/01/2021 15:30
06/01/2021 19:00
4 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+20.1%
05/01/2021 16:00
06/01/2021 12:30
21 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+1.91%
03/01/2021 11:00
05/01/2021 07:00
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
+13%
31/12/2020 10:30
01/01/2021 09:00
23 hours
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-7.17%
26/12/2020 11:00
28/12/2020 06:30
2 days
OP 0.00000002
CP 0.00000002
-9.1%
24/12/2020 21:00
26/12/2020 10:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000002
-5%
23/12/2020 19:30
24/12/2020 09:00
14 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.609%
19/12/2020 15:00
21/12/2020 23:30
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+3.34%
18/12/2020 02:00
18/12/2020 13:30
12 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+30.1%
17/12/2020 01:30
17/12/2020 12:00
11 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+4.13%
16/12/2020 08:00
16/12/2020 17:30
10 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+8.11%
07/12/2020 18:00
13/12/2020 09:30
6 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.05%
04/12/2020 20:00
07/12/2020 03:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.218%
24/11/2020 23:00
30/11/2020 11:30
6 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-5.9%
24/11/2020 02:30
24/11/2020 08:30
6 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+4.32%
17/11/2020 13:30
21/11/2020 11:30
4 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.87%
15/11/2020 03:00
17/11/2020 05:00
2 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-2.2%
11/11/2020 02:00
14/11/2020 13:00
3 days
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-1.19%
08/11/2020 23:30
09/11/2020 23:00
24 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.926%
07/11/2020 19:30
08/11/2020 18:30
23 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
+0.0645%
05/11/2020 04:30
06/11/2020 09:30
1 day
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-6.05%
01/11/2020 12:00
02/11/2020 16:00
1 day
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-4.35%
31/10/2020 07:30
01/11/2020 06:30
23 hours
OP 0.00000003
CP 0.00000003
-0.178%
28/10/2020 04:30
28/10/2020 12:30
8 hours
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
+1.99%
25/10/2020 05:30
27/10/2020 04:00
2 days
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
-2.03%
23/10/2020 17:30
24/10/2020 09:30
16 hours
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
-2.24%
21/10/2020 06:00
21/10/2020 06:30
30 minutes
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
+2.74%
01/10/2020 13:30
19/10/2020 06:00
18 days
OP 0.00000004
CP 0.00000004
+9.9%
Trade active
Addind the last few days worth of positions on this:05/04/2021 13:30
05/04/2021 15:30
2 hours
OP 0.00000046
CP 0.00000052
+12.5%
03/04/2021 14:30
04/04/2021 03:00
13 hours
OP 0.00000039
CP 0.00000044
+13.5%
02/04/2021 01:30
02/04/2021 10:30
9 hours
OP 0.00000029
CP 0.00000031
+7.98%
31/03/2021 03:00
01/04/2021 08:00
1 day
OP 0.0000003
CP 0.0000003
+0.111%
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Test trading strategies on crypto, stocks, indices, forex with decades of 1-min data.
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