IBM overextended on monthly Bollinger Bands and hitting trend line resistance. If this plays out similar to history I'm expecting a 20% drop within the next 200 days and about 40% drop in the next 2-3 years. Fundamentals also looking weak with declining revenues, lower margins, and burning cash. Cleary a breakout that holds to the upside will negate this bear setup. Monthly MACD about to crossover so might end up turning into a uptrend. I'm not in this trade, keeping on watch.
Note
Never took a trade on this but it is right back to that strong resistance line. Looks like that recent move lower was a bear trap before a huge breakout but if it gets rejected here again I think it goes down to make lower lows.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.